Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000622 0.000706 0.000794 0.000895 0.001005 0.001123 0.001258
2026-01-11 0.000487 0.000602 0.000732 0.000889 0.001073 0.001279 0.001527
2026-01-18 0.000409 0.000537 0.000688 0.000879 0.001110 0.001379 0.001714
2026-01-25 0.000359 0.000497 0.000666 0.000887 0.001164 0.001496 0.001919
2026-02-01 0.000317 0.000461 0.000643 0.000889 0.001205 0.001594 0.002102
2026-02-08 0.000272 0.000414 0.000601 0.000861 0.001205 0.001638 0.002216
2026-02-15 0.000236 0.000376 0.000567 0.000839 0.001209 0.001684 0.002330
2026-02-22 0.000211 0.000351 0.000547 0.000834 0.001233 0.001755 0.002478
2026-03-01 0.000190 0.000330 0.000532 0.000833 0.001261 0.001831 0.002632
2026-03-08 0.000170 0.000307 0.000511 0.000823 0.001275 0.001887 0.002759
2026-03-15 0.000152 0.000285 0.000489 0.000810 0.001282 0.001933 0.002874
2026-03-22 0.000144 0.000279 0.000492 0.000831 0.001340 0.002049 0.003087
2026-03-29 0.000134 0.000270 0.000488 0.000844 0.001385 0.002151 0.003283
2026-04-05 0.000121 0.000253 0.000472 0.000837 0.001401 0.002211 0.003423
2026-04-12 0.000109 0.000238 0.000456 0.000827 0.001412 0.002263 0.003551
2026-04-19 0.000101 0.000229 0.000451 0.000835 0.001449 0.002353 0.003737
2026-04-26 0.000093 0.000219 0.000442 0.000837 0.001477 0.002430 0.003903
2026-05-03 0.000082 0.000200 0.000418 0.000810 0.001459 0.002438 0.003970
2026-05-10 0.000072 0.000185 0.000397 0.000789 0.001448 0.002456 0.004049
2026-05-17 0.000066 0.000175 0.000387 0.000785 0.001463 0.002513 0.004188
2026-05-24 0.000060 0.000167 0.000379 0.000784 0.001484 0.002579 0.004341
2026-05-31 0.000055 0.000157 0.000366 0.000774 0.001489 0.002620 0.004458
2026-06-07 0.000049 0.000147 0.000353 0.000761 0.001488 0.002653 0.004561